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| Phân tích Tác động Nhân quả Đa kỳ× | Phương pháp Sai phân kép (Difference-in-Differences - DiD)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực≠ | Suy luận nhân quả | Kinh tế lượng |
| Họ | Regression model | Regression model |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 2015 (base); multi-period extensions 2017–present | 1994 |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | Brodersen, Gallusser, Koehler, Remy & Scott (Google); extended to multi-period settings by subsequent applied work | Card & Krueger (canonical 1994 application); Angrist & Pischke (textbook treatment) |
| Loại≠ | Bayesian structural time-series / quasi-experimental | Causal inference / panel regression |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Brodersen, K. H., Gallusser, F., Koehler, J., Remy, N., & Scott, S. L. (2015). Inferring causal impact using Bayesian structural time-series models. Annals of Applied Statistics, 9(1), 247-274. DOI ↗ | Angrist, J. D., & Pischke, J.-S. (2009). Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion. Princeton University Press. ISBN: 978-0691120355 |
| Tên gọi khác≠ | multi-period CausalImpact, staggered causal impact, repeated-period causal impact, multi-wave CausalImpact | diff-in-diff, DiD, Farkların Farkı (Diff-in-Diff) |
| Liên quan≠ | 6 | 5 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | Multi-period Causal Impact Analysis extends the Bayesian structural time-series framework of Brodersen et al. (2015) to settings where an intervention occurs across multiple distinct periods, is applied at staggered times to different units, or where researchers wish to evaluate cumulative and period-specific effects within a single unified model. It builds a synthetic counterfactual from control covariates and projects it across each intervention window to quantify causal effects. | Difference-in-Differences is a causal-inference method that estimates the effect of an intervention by comparing how a treatment group and a control group change over time. Made famous by Card and Krueger's 1994 minimum-wage study and developed in Angrist and Pischke's Mostly Harmless Econometrics, it isolates the treatment effect as the difference between the two groups' before-after changes. |
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