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Phân tích Tác động Nhân quả Đa kỳ×Phương pháp Sai phân kép (Difference-in-Differences - DiD)×
Lĩnh vựcSuy luận nhân quảKinh tế lượng
HọRegression modelRegression model
Năm ra đời2015 (base); multi-period extensions 2017–present1994
Người khởi xướngBrodersen, Gallusser, Koehler, Remy & Scott (Google); extended to multi-period settings by subsequent applied workCard & Krueger (canonical 1994 application); Angrist & Pischke (textbook treatment)
LoạiBayesian structural time-series / quasi-experimentalCausal inference / panel regression
Công trình gốcBrodersen, K. H., Gallusser, F., Koehler, J., Remy, N., & Scott, S. L. (2015). Inferring causal impact using Bayesian structural time-series models. Annals of Applied Statistics, 9(1), 247-274. DOI ↗Angrist, J. D., & Pischke, J.-S. (2009). Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion. Princeton University Press. ISBN: 978-0691120355
Tên gọi khácmulti-period CausalImpact, staggered causal impact, repeated-period causal impact, multi-wave CausalImpactdiff-in-diff, DiD, Farkların Farkı (Diff-in-Diff)
Liên quan65
Tóm tắtMulti-period Causal Impact Analysis extends the Bayesian structural time-series framework of Brodersen et al. (2015) to settings where an intervention occurs across multiple distinct periods, is applied at staggered times to different units, or where researchers wish to evaluate cumulative and period-specific effects within a single unified model. It builds a synthetic counterfactual from control covariates and projects it across each intervention window to quantify causal effects.Difference-in-Differences is a causal-inference method that estimates the effect of an intervention by comparing how a treatment group and a control group change over time. Made famous by Card and Krueger's 1994 minimum-wage study and developed in Angrist and Pischke's Mostly Harmless Econometrics, it isolates the treatment effect as the difference between the two groups' before-after changes.
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ScholarGateSo sánh phương pháp: Multi-period Causal Impact Analysis · Difference-in-Differences. Truy cập ngày 2026-06-17 từ https://scholargate.app/vi/compare