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Mô phỏng vi mô×Mô phỏng sự kiện rời rạc (DES)×
Lĩnh vựcMô phỏngMô phỏng
HọProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Năm ra đời19571960s (formalized); modern computational form from 1970s onward
Người khởi xướngGuy Orcutt (concept, 1957); modern tax-transfer frameworks developed through EUROMOD and related projectsBanks, Carson, Nelson & Nicol (textbook lineage); foundational work by Tocher & Conway (1960s)
LoạiPolicy simulation / computational social scienceStochastic process simulation
Công trình gốcO'Donoghue, C. (Ed.) (2014). Handbook of Microsimulation Modelling. Emerald. DOI ↗Banks, J., Carson, J.S., Nelson, B.L. & Nicol, D.M. (2010). Discrete-Event System Simulation (5th ed.). Pearson. ISBN: 978-0136062127
Tên gọi khácMikrosimülasyon, micro-simulation, policy microsimulationDES, event-driven simulation, Ayrık Olay Simülasyonu (DES)
Liên quan54
Tóm tắtMicrosimulation is a computational method that simulates policy effects by operating directly on a population of individual micro-units — households, firms, patients — and applying rules to each unit according to its own demographic, economic, and behavioural characteristics. Developed conceptually by Guy Orcutt in 1957, it has become the standard tool for evaluating tax reform, pension systems, and health policy before implementation.Discrete-Event Simulation (DES) is a computational modeling paradigm in which the state of a system changes only at a countable sequence of points in time — the events. Between events nothing changes, so the simulation clock jumps directly from one event to the next. Formalized through the foundational textbooks of Banks, Carson, Nelson and Nicol and of Law in the 1960s–2000s, DES has become the standard tool for analyzing queuing systems, healthcare patient flows, manufacturing lines, and logistics networks where entities move through resources over time.
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ScholarGateSo sánh phương pháp: Microsimulation · Discrete-Event Simulation. Truy cập ngày 2026-06-15 từ https://scholargate.app/vi/compare