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GARCH-MIDAS×Component GARCH×
Lĩnh vựcKinh tế lượngKinh tế lượng
HọRegression modelRegression model
Năm ra đời20121999
Người khởi xướngEngle and GhyselsEngle and Lee
LoạiTime-varying variance modelDecomposed variance model
Công trình gốcEngle, R. F., & Ghysels, E. (2012). GARCH for long memory. Journal of Econometrics, 164(2), 385-391. link ↗Engle, R. F., & Lee, G. (1999). A permanent and transitory component model of stock return volatility. Journal of Political Economy, 107(6), 1363-1384. link ↗
Tên gọi khácMixed-frequency volatility modelVolatility components model
Liên quan33
Tóm tắtGARCH-MIDAS decomposes volatility into short-term (GARCH) and long-term (MIDAS) components, allowing low-frequency macroeconomic variables to drive medium-term volatility while high-frequency returns govern daily fluctuations. Introduced by Engle and Ghysels (2012), this framework elegantly separates volatility time scales. The approach is powerful for understanding how macro conditions (growth, inflation) drive risk premia and for improved volatility forecasting.Component GARCH decomposes conditional variance into transitory (short-term) and permanent (long-term) components with different dynamics, allowing flexibility in capturing volatility behavior at multiple frequencies. Introduced by Engle and Lee (1999), it elegantly models the empirical finding that volatility exhibits both rapid mean-reversion (daily shocks) and slow mean-reversion (level shifts). This framework is crucial for understanding volatility persistence and improving long-horizon volatility forecasting.
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ScholarGateSo sánh phương pháp: GARCH-MIDAS · Component GARCH. Truy cập ngày 2026-06-18 từ https://scholargate.app/vi/compare