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| Mô hình Fourier GARCH× | Mô hình EGARCH (Exponential GARCH)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực | Kinh tế lượng | Kinh tế lượng |
| Họ | Regression model | Regression model |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 2000–2012 | 1991 |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | Ludlow & Enders (2000); extended by Enders & Lee (2012) Fourier framework | Daniel B. Nelson |
| Loại≠ | Volatility model | Volatility / conditional variance model |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Ludlow, J., & Enders, W. (2000). Estimating non-linear ARMA models using Fourier coefficients. International Journal of Forecasting, 16(3), 333–347. DOI ↗ | Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗ |
| Tên gọi khác | Fourier GARCH, Fourier-flexible GARCH, GARCH with Fourier terms, smooth-break GARCH | Exponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCH |
| Liên quan≠ | 5 | 6 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | The Fourier GARCH model embeds trigonometric Fourier terms into a standard GARCH framework to capture smooth, gradual shifts in the conditional variance process without requiring knowledge of exact structural break dates. By approximating unknown break patterns with sinusoidal functions, it jointly models volatility clustering and time-varying unconditional variance. | The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets. |
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