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| Mô hình Fourier DCC-GARCH× | Mô hình GARCH (Dự báo Biến động)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực | Kinh tế lượng | Kinh tế lượng |
| Họ | Regression model | Regression model |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 2002 (DCC-GARCH); Fourier extension applied from mid-2010s onward | 1986 |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | Engle (2002) for DCC-GARCH; Fourier extension by Gallant (1981) and later applied in financial econometrics | Tim Bollerslev |
| Loại≠ | Multivariate volatility model with smooth structural breaks | Conditional volatility model |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Engle, R. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlations: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. link ↗ | Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗ |
| Tên gọi khác | Fourier DCC-GARCH, Fourier-augmented DCC-GARCH, DCC-GARCH with Fourier terms, smooth structural break DCC-GARCH | GARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini) |
| Liên quan | 5 | 5 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | The Fourier DCC-GARCH model extends Engle's Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH framework by embedding Fourier trigonometric terms in the conditional mean or variance equations. This allows the model to approximate smooth, gradual structural shifts in volatility dynamics and inter-asset correlations without requiring knowledge of the number or timing of break points. | The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series. |
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