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Kiểm định nhân quả Granger Dolado-Lütkepohl×Kiểm định nhân quả Granger×Kiểm định Nhân quả Granger Toda-Yamamoto×
Lĩnh vựcKinh tế lượngKinh tế lượngKinh tế lượng
HọHypothesis testRegression modelHypothesis test
Năm ra đời199619691995
Người khởi xướngJuan Dolado & Helmut LütkepohlClive W. J. GrangerHiro Toda & Taku Yamamoto
LoạiModified Wald test for Granger causality in possibly integrated or cointegrated VAR systemsTime-series predictive causality testModified Wald test on augmented VAR
Công trình gốcDolado, J. J., & Lütkepohl, H. (1996). Making Wald tests work for cointegrated VAR systems. Econometric Reviews, 15(4), 369–386. DOI ↗Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424-438. DOI ↗Toda, H. Y., & Yamamoto, T. (1995). Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes. Journal of Econometrics, 66(1–2), 225–250. DOI ↗
Tên gọi khácDL Causality Test, Modified Wald Causality Test, Augmented VAR Causality Test, Dolado-Lütkepohl TestiGranger causality test, Granger non-causality test, predictive causality test, Granger Nedensellik TestiTY Causality Test, Modified Wald Granger Causality, MWALD Test, Toda-Yamamoto Nedensellik Testi
Liên quan253
Tóm tắtThe Dolado-Lütkepohl (DL) test, introduced by Dolado and Lütkepohl (1996), is a modified Wald procedure for testing Granger causality in vector autoregressive (VAR) systems whose variables may be integrated or cointegrated. By fitting a VAR of slightly higher order than necessary and restricting the Wald statistic to the first p lag blocks, the test recovers the standard chi-squared limiting distribution without requiring pre-testing for cointegration or transformation to error-correction form.The Granger causality test, introduced by Clive W. J. Granger in 1969, assesses whether the past values of one time series help predict another beyond what the latter's own past already explains. It defines causality in a strictly predictive sense rather than as a structural or physical cause.The Toda-Yamamoto (TY) causality test, introduced by Toda and Yamamoto (1995), provides a robust procedure for testing Granger non-causality in vector autoregressive (VAR) models when the variables may be integrated or cointegrated of arbitrary order. By intentionally over-fitting the VAR with extra lags equal to the maximum integration order, the method bypasses the need for pre-testing cointegration and preserves the standard asymptotic chi-squared distribution of the Wald statistic.
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ScholarGateSo sánh phương pháp: Dolado-Lütkepohl Causality · Granger Causality · Toda-Yamamoto Causality. Truy cập ngày 2026-06-20 từ https://scholargate.app/vi/compare