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| Mô hình DCC-GARCH (Tương quan có điều kiện động)× | Kiểm định nhân quả Granger× | |
|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực | Kinh tế lượng | Kinh tế lượng |
| Họ | Regression model | Regression model |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 2002 | 1969 |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | Robert F. Engle | Clive W. J. Granger |
| Loại≠ | Multivariate volatility model | Causality test (F-test on VAR) |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Engle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗ | Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424–438. DOI ↗ |
| Tên gọi khác | DCC-GARCH, Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH, Engle DCC model, multivariate DCC | Granger test, GC test, predictive causality test, Granger non-causality test |
| Liên quan | 5 | 5 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | The DCC-GARCH model, introduced by Engle (2002), extends univariate GARCH to capture time-varying correlations between multiple financial time series. It decomposes the multivariate conditional covariance matrix into individual volatility processes and a dynamic correlation matrix, allowing correlations to fluctuate over time while remaining computationally tractable even with many series. | The Granger causality test is a statistical hypothesis test that determines whether past values of one time series help predict future values of another, beyond what that series' own past already explains. Introduced by Clive Granger in 1969, it is the standard approach for assessing predictive causality in VAR-based time-series analysis. |
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