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Kiểm định nhân quả trong phương sai×Component GARCH×
Lĩnh vựcKinh tế lượngKinh tế lượng
HọRegression modelRegression model
Năm ra đời19961999
Người khởi xướngYin-Wong Cheung and Lilian NgEngle and Lee
LoạiConditional variance testDecomposed variance model
Công trình gốcCheung, Y. W., & Ng, L. K. (1996). A causality-in-variance test and its application to financial market prices. Journal of Econometrics, 72(1-2), 33-61. DOI ↗Engle, R. F., & Lee, G. (1999). A permanent and transitory component model of stock return volatility. Journal of Political Economy, 107(6), 1363-1384. link ↗
Tên gọi khácVolatility spillover testVolatility components model
Liên quan33
Tóm tắtThe causality-in-variance test detects whether shocks to one variable cause changes in the conditional variance (volatility) of another variable, distinct from mean-level causality. Introduced by Cheung and Ng (1996), it identifies volatility spillovers and contagion effects—crucial for risk management and understanding financial market interdependencies. This approach has become standard in studying shock transmission across asset classes and geographies.Component GARCH decomposes conditional variance into transitory (short-term) and permanent (long-term) components with different dynamics, allowing flexibility in capturing volatility behavior at multiple frequencies. Introduced by Engle and Lee (1999), it elegantly models the empirical finding that volatility exhibits both rapid mean-reversion (daily shocks) and slow mean-reversion (level shifts). This framework is crucial for understanding volatility persistence and improving long-horizon volatility forecasting.
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ScholarGateSo sánh phương pháp: Causality in Variance Test · Component GARCH. Truy cập ngày 2026-06-18 từ https://scholargate.app/vi/compare