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| BEKK-GARCH: Mô hình hóa Phương sai có Điều kiện Đa biến× | Mô hình DCC-GARCH (Dynamic Conditional Correlation)× | Mô hình Tự hồi quy Vector (VAR)× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lĩnh vực≠ | Kinh tế lượng | Tài chính | Kinh tế lượng |
| Họ | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| Năm ra đời≠ | 1995 | 2002 | 2005 |
| Người khởi xướng≠ | Robert Engle & Kenneth Kroner | Robert F. Engle | Lütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition |
| Loại≠ | Multivariate conditional volatility model | Multivariate volatility model | Multivariate time-series model |
| Công trình gốc≠ | Engle, R. F., & Kroner, K. F. (1995). Multivariate simultaneous generalized ARCH. Econometric Theory, 11(1), 122–150. DOI ↗ | Engle, R. (2002). Dynamic Conditional Correlation: A Simple Class of Multivariate GARCH Models. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗ | Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗ |
| Tên gọi khác | BEKK Model, Baba-Engle-Kraft-Kroner GARCH, Multivariate BEKK, BEKK-ÇARCH Modeli | dynamic conditional correlation, Engle DCC, multivariate GARCH, DCC-GARCH — Dinamik Koşullu Korelasyon | vector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon |
| Liên quan≠ | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Tóm tắt≠ | BEKK-GARCH, proposed by Engle and Kroner (1995), is a multivariate GARCH specification that models the time-varying conditional covariance matrix of a system of financial return series. Named after Baba, Engle, Kraft, and Kroner, it is the dominant framework for quantifying volatility spillovers and dynamic correlations across multiple assets or markets simultaneously, widely adopted by financial economists and risk managers since the mid-1990s. | DCC-GARCH is Engle's (2002) multivariate volatility model that lets the correlations between several assets change over time. A separate univariate GARCH model is fitted to each series, and then the dynamic correlation matrix is estimated in a second, separate step. | Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005). |
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