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Phân tích công suất Bayes (Đảm bảo)×Phân tích tuần tự (Thiết kế tuần tự nhóm)×
Lĩnh vựcThống kêThống kê
HọHypothesis testHypothesis test
Năm ra đời19861977
Người khởi xướngSpiegelhalter & Freedman (1986); O'Hagan, Stevens & Campbell (2005)P. C. O'Brien & T. R. Fleming; P. C. Pocock
LoạiBayesian sample size determinationSequential / adaptive hypothesis test
Công trình gốcO'Hagan, A., Stevens, J.W. & Campbell, M.J. (2005). Assurance in Clinical Trial Design. Pharmaceutical Statistics, 4(3), 187–201. DOI ↗O'Brien, P.C. & Fleming, T.R. (1979). A Multiple Testing Procedure for Clinical Trials. Biometrics, 35(3), 549–556. DOI ↗
Tên gọi khácassurance, bayesian sample size determination, bayesian assurance, Bayesian Güç Analizi (Assurance / Bayesian Sample Size)sequential testing, group sequential design, interim analysis, Sıralı Analiz (Sequential Testing / Group Sequential Design)
Liên quan35
Tóm tắtBayesian power analysis — also called assurance — is a sample size determination method that replaces the frequentist notion of power with a probability-weighted average over a prior distribution on the effect size. First formalised by Spiegelhalter and Freedman (1986) and further developed by O'Hagan, Stevens and Campbell (2005), it answers the question: given our current uncertainty about the true effect, what sample size gives us a high overall probability of obtaining a statistically significant result?Sequential analysis is a framework for conducting hypothesis tests with pre-planned interim looks at accumulating data, allowing a study to stop early for efficacy or futility while controlling the overall Type I error rate. The group sequential approach was formalised by Pocock (1977) and O'Brien and Fleming (1979), and remains the standard for confirmatory clinical trials and rigorous A/B experiments.
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ScholarGateSo sánh phương pháp: Bayesian Power Analysis · Sequential Analysis. Truy cập ngày 2026-06-15 từ https://scholargate.app/vi/compare