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Mạng Bayes×Nhận dạng nhân quả với Đồ thị có hướng không chu trình (do-calculus)×Chuỗi Markov Monte Carlo (MCMC)×
Lĩnh vựcBayesSuy luận nhân quảBayes
HọBayesian methodsRegression modelBayesian methods
Năm ra đời19882009
Người khởi xướngJudea PearlJudea Pearl
LoạiProbabilistic graphical modelCausal identification frameworkPosterior sampling algorithm
Công trình gốcPearl, J. (1988). Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems: Networks of Plausible Inference. Morgan Kaufmann. ISBN: 978-1558604797Pearl, J. (2009). Causality: Models, Reasoning, and Inference (2nd ed.). Cambridge University Press. ISBN: 978-0521895606Gelman, A., Carlin, J. B., Stern, H. S., Dunson, D. B., Vehtari, A. & Rubin, D. B. (2013). Bayesian Data Analysis (3rd ed.). CRC Press. ISBN: 978-1439840955
Tên gọi khácBayes network, belief network, probabilistic graphical model, directed graphical modeldo-calculus, backdoor adjustment, Pearl causal identification, DAG ile Nedensel Tanımlama (do-calculus)markov chain monte carlo, MCMC sampling, MCMC (Markov Zinciri Monte Carlo)
Liên quan453
Tóm tắtA Bayesian network is a probabilistic graphical model, introduced by Judea Pearl in 1988, that encodes a set of variables and their conditional dependencies as a directed acyclic graph (DAG). Each node represents a variable; each directed edge encodes a direct probabilistic influence. By combining Bayes' rule with the graph's conditional independence structure, the model supports reasoning under uncertainty — computing the probability of any variable given observed evidence about others.DAG causal identification is a framework, developed by Judea Pearl (2009), that encodes causal assumptions as a directed acyclic graph and uses the do-calculus rules to determine whether and how a causal effect can be identified from observational data. It systematically handles confounders, instrumental variables, and backdoor paths.Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a family of computational algorithms for sampling from complex probability distributions, most commonly the posterior distributions that arise in Bayesian inference. Rather than computing posteriors analytically — which is rarely possible for realistic models — MCMC constructs a Markov chain whose stationary distribution is the target posterior and draws dependent samples from it, enabling full probabilistic inference for virtually any model.
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ScholarGateSo sánh phương pháp: Bayesian Network · DAG Causal Identification · MCMC. Truy cập ngày 2026-06-17 từ https://scholargate.app/vi/compare