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Phân tích kịch bản dựa trên tác nhân×Mô hình hóa dựa trên tác nhân (ABM)×
Lĩnh vựcMô phỏngMô phỏng
HọProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Năm ra đời1990s–2000s1970s–1990s (formalized as a field)
Người khởi xướngAxelrod, R.; Schoemaker, P. J. H. (combined lineage)Thomas Schelling and Robert Axelrod (foundational contributions, 1970s–1990s)
LoạiHybrid simulation–scenario methodComputational simulation method
Công trình gốcAxelrod, R. (1997). The Complexity of Cooperation: Agent-Based Models of Competition and Collaboration. Princeton University Press. Princeton, NJ. ISBN: 9780691015675Axelrod, R. (1997). The Complexity of Cooperation: Agent-Based Models of Competition and Collaboration. Princeton University Press. DOI ↗
Tên gọi khácABSA, ABM scenario analysis, agent-based scenario planning, scenario-driven ABMABM, Ajan Tabanlı Modelleme (ABM), multi-agent simulation, individual-based modeling
Liên quan45
Tóm tắtAgent-based scenario analysis embeds agent-based simulation models inside a structured scenario planning framework. Researchers define two to four contrasting future scenarios, configure agent populations and environmental rules to reflect each scenario's assumptions, run the simulation under each condition, and compare emergent outcomes. This makes it possible to explore how decentralized individual behaviors aggregate into system-level consequences under radically different futures.Agent-based modeling (ABM) is a computational simulation method, formalized through the work of Thomas Schelling and Robert Axelrod in the 1970s–1990s, that simulates the behavior of complex systems by specifying and running autonomous agents — individuals, firms, cells, or any bounded entity — whose local interactions with each other and with their environment collectively produce global, system-level patterns that could not be predicted from any single agent's rules alone.
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ScholarGateSo sánh phương pháp: Agent-based scenario analysis · Agent-Based Modeling. Truy cập ngày 2026-06-15 từ https://scholargate.app/vi/compare