Порівняння методів

	Просторово-байєсівське усереднення моделей	Байєсівське усереднення моделей
Галузь	Баєсові методи	Баєсові методи
Родина	Bayesian methods	Bayesian methods
Рік появи	2008	1999
Автор методу	LeSage & Fischer (building on Raftery et al. BMA framework, 1997)	Hoeting, Madigan, Raftery & Volinsky
Тип	Bayesian model combination with spatial structure	Bayesian model averaging
Основоположне джерело	LeSage, J. P. & Pace, R. K. (2009). Introduction to Spatial Econometrics. CRC Press / Taylor & Francis. ISBN: 978-1420064247	Hoeting, J. A., Madigan, D., Raftery, A. E. & Volinsky, C. T. (1999). Bayesian Model Averaging: A Tutorial. Statistical Science, 14(4), 382–401.
Інші назви	spatial BMA, BMA for spatial data, Bayesian model averaging with spatial effects, spatial model uncertainty averaging	BMA, Bayesian model combination, Bayesian Model Ortalaması (BMA)
Пов'язані	5	5
Підсумок	Spatial Bayesian model averaging (spatial BMA) extends classical BMA to settings where observations are georeferenced and spatial dependence must be modelled. Rather than selecting a single spatial regression model — which spatial weight matrix to use, which regressors to include, which spatial lag or error structure to adopt — it averages the predictions and parameter estimates across all candidate models, weighting each by its posterior probability given the data.	Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA), formalised as a tutorial by Hoeting, Madigan, Raftery and Volinsky in 1999, addresses model uncertainty by averaging over all plausible model specifications rather than selecting a single best model. Each candidate model receives a posterior probability that reflects how well it fits the data given a prior, and predictions or coefficient estimates are formed as weighted averages across the entire model space. This approach reduces the bias and overconfidence that arise when a single selected model is treated as the true one.