Порівняння методів
Переглядайте обрані методи поруч; рядки з відмінностями підсвічено.
| Тест Дібольда-Маріано на рівність прогнозної точності× | Набір впевненості моделі (MCS)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Галузь | Економетрика | Економетрика |
| Родина | Hypothesis test | Hypothesis test |
| Рік появи≠ | 1995 | 2011 |
| Автор методу≠ | Francis Diebold & Roberto Mariano | Hansen, Lunde & Nason |
| Тип≠ | Non-parametric forecast comparison test | Sequential hypothesis testing procedure for model comparison |
| Основоположне джерело≠ | Diebold, F. X., & Mariano, R. S. (1995). Comparing predictive accuracy. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 13(3), 253–263. DOI ↗ | Hansen, P. R., Lunde, A., & Nason, J. M. (2011). The model confidence set. Econometrica, 79(2), 453–497. DOI ↗ |
| Інші назви | DM Test, Test of Equal Forecast Accuracy, Diebold-Mariano Forecast Comparison Test, Tahmin Doğruluğu Eşitliği Testi | MCS Procedure, Superior Set of Models, Model Selection Confidence Set, Model Güven Kümesi |
| Пов'язані | 3 | 3 |
| Підсумок≠ | The Diebold-Mariano (DM) test, introduced by Diebold and Mariano in 1995, is a widely used non-parametric procedure for formally comparing the predictive accuracy of two competing forecasting models. It evaluates whether the difference in forecast errors between two models is statistically significant, without requiring nested models or specific distributional assumptions about the forecasts, making it broadly applicable across economics, finance, and time-series analysis. | The Model Confidence Set (MCS) is a sequential hypothesis-testing procedure introduced by Hansen, Lunde, and Nason (2011) that identifies the smallest collection of forecasting or predictive models statistically indistinguishable from the best-performing model at a given confidence level. Instead of selecting a single winner, MCS returns a set of superior models, making it especially valuable in econometric forecast comparisons where the true best model is unknown. |
| ScholarGateНабір даних ↗ |
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