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Peace Duration Analysis×Militarized Interstate Dispute Analysis×
สาขาวิชาInternational RelationsInternational Relations
ตระกูลSurvival analysisProcess / pipeline
ปีกำเนิด20031996
ผู้ริเริ่มConflict-duration literature (e.g., Caroline Hartzell & Matthew Hoddie on post-civil-war peace)Daniel Jones, Stuart Bremer & J. David Singer (Correlates of War project)
ประเภทTime-to-event (survival) analysis of peace spellsCoding and statistical analysis of interstate militarized confrontations
แหล่งต้นตำรับHartzell, C., & Hoddie, M. (2003). Institutionalizing peace: Power sharing and post-civil war conflict management. American Journal of Political Science, 47(2), 318–332. DOI ↗Jones, D. M., Bremer, S. A., & Singer, J. D. (1996). Militarized interstate disputes, 1816–1992: Rationale, coding rules, and empirical patterns. Conflict Management and Peace Science, 15(2), 163–213. DOI ↗
ชื่อเรียกอื่นDuration of Peace Analysis, Post-Conflict Peace Survival Analysis, Peace Spell Analysis, Time-to-Conflict-Recurrence AnalysisMID Analysis, Militarized Dispute Coding, Correlates of War Dispute Analysis, Dyadic Conflict Onset Analysis
ที่เกี่ยวข้อง33
สรุปPeace duration analysis applies survival (time-to-event) methods to study how long peace lasts after a conflict ends and what makes it endure or collapse. The unit is the post-conflict peace spell, observed from a settlement or cessation until conflict recurs or the observation is censored. Modeling the hazard that peace fails as a function of how the conflict ended and the structural conditions — as in Hartzell and Hoddie's (2003) study of power-sharing after civil war — reveals which arrangements, such as institutionalized power sharing or peacekeeping, lengthen the survival of peace.Militarized interstate dispute (MID) analysis is the coding and quantitative study of confrontations in which one state threatens, displays, or uses military force against another. Built on the Correlates of War project's MID dataset and the coding rules codified by Jones, Bremer, and Singer (1996), it provides the standard observational measure of interstate conflict short of and including war, structured as dyad-years so that the onset, escalation, and outcomes of disputes can be modeled statistically across two centuries of the international system.
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ScholarGateเปรียบเทียบวิธี: Peace Duration Analysis · Militarized Interstate Dispute Analysis. สืบค้นเมื่อ 2026-06-24 จาก https://scholargate.app/th/compare