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Criminal Career Paradigm×Age-Crime Curve Modeling×
สาขาวิชาCriminologyCriminology
ตระกูลProcess / pipelineRegression model
ปีกำเนิด19861983
ผู้ริเริ่มAlfred Blumstein, Jacqueline Cohen, Jeffrey Roth & Christy VisherTravis Hirschi & Michael Gottfredson; David Farrington
ประเภทConceptual framework for decomposing offending over the life courseNonlinear regression modeling of the age distribution of offending
แหล่งต้นตำรับBlumstein, A., Cohen, J., Roth, J. A., & Visher, C. A. (Eds.). (1986). Criminal Careers and 'Career Criminals' (Vols. 1–2). National Academy Press. ISBN: 9780309036887Hirschi, T., & Gottfredson, M. (1983). Age and the explanation of crime. American Journal of Sociology, 89(3), 552–584. DOI ↗
ชื่อเรียกอื่นCriminal Careers Framework, Career Criminal Paradigm, Offending Career Approach, Blumstein Criminal Career ModelAge-Crime Relationship Modeling, Age-Offending Curve, Aggregate Age-Crime Distribution, Crime-Age Profile Modeling
ที่เกี่ยวข้อง44
สรุปThe criminal career paradigm is a framework for studying offending as a longitudinal sequence in an individual's life rather than as undifferentiated aggregate crime. Codified by Blumstein, Cohen, Roth, and Visher in the 1986 National Academy of Sciences report, it decomposes crime into distinct dimensions — whether someone offends (participation), how often active offenders offend (frequency, λ), and the onset, seriousness, and duration of the career — each potentially with different causes.Age-crime curve modeling fits statistical functions to the well-known relationship between age and offending: crime rises sharply in adolescence, peaks in the late teens or early twenties, and declines through adulthood. Brought to prominence by Hirschi and Gottfredson's 1983 claim that this curve is invariant, and elaborated by Farrington, the modeling task is to capture its characteristic skewed, single-peaked shape and to debate what it implies about the causes of crime.
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ScholarGateเปรียบเทียบวิธี: Criminal Career Paradigm · Age-Crime Curve Modeling. สืบค้นเมื่อ 2026-06-25 จาก https://scholargate.app/th/compare