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Age-Period-Cohort Model×Direct Standardization×
สาขาวิชาประชากรศาสตร์ประชากรศาสตร์
ตระกูลRegression modelProcess / pipeline
ปีกำเนิด19832001
ผู้ริเริ่มTheodore R. Holford (modern estimable-function formulation)Classical demographic method (formalized by Preston, Heuveline & Guillot)
ประเภทRegression decomposition of rates into age, period and cohort effectsRate adjustment by reweighting to a standard population
แหล่งต้นตำรับHolford, T. R. (1983). The estimation of age, period and cohort effects for vital rates. Biometrics, 39(2), 311–324. DOI ↗Preston, S. H., Heuveline, P., & Guillot, M. (2001). Demography: Measuring and Modeling Population Processes. Blackwell. ISBN: 9781557864512
ชื่อเรียกอื่นAPC Model, Age-Period-Cohort Analysis, Holford APC ModelDirectly standardized rate, Age-standardized rate, Direct method of standardization, Doğrudan Standardizasyon
ที่เกี่ยวข้อง44
สรุปThe age-period-cohort (APC) model decomposes variation in a vital rate — mortality, incidence, fertility — into three temporal dimensions: the age of individuals, the calendar period of observation, and the birth cohort to which they belong. It is the standard framework for asking whether a trend reflects how risk changes with age, contemporaneous period influences affecting all ages at once, or generational effects carried by successive cohorts. Its defining technical challenge is that cohort equals period minus age, an exact linear dependence that makes the three sets of linear effects unidentifiable without further assumptions; Holford's 1983 formulation clarified exactly which quantities can and cannot be estimated.Direct standardization is a demographic technique that makes summary rates comparable across populations by applying each population's group-specific rates — most often age-specific death or disease rates — to a single, common standard population structure. The resulting directly standardized rate answers a counterfactual question: what would the crude rate be if every population had the same age (or other) composition? It removes the confounding effect of differing population structure so that genuine differences in underlying risk can be compared on a level footing.
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ScholarGateเปรียบเทียบวิธี: Age-Period-Cohort Model · Direct Standardization. สืบค้นเมื่อ 2026-06-24 จาก https://scholargate.app/th/compare