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Process / pipelineAdult mortality estimation from defective data

Preston-Coale Method

The Preston-Coale method, also called the synthetic extinct generations method, estimates the completeness of death registration by rebuilding a population from the very deaths it records. Introduced by Samuel Preston and Ansley Coale in 1982, it uses the variable-r relations of a non-stable population to project each age group's future deaths forward, growth-adjust them, and accumulate them into the number of people who must currently be alive at each age. Comparing this implied population with the observed census count reveals what fraction of deaths the vital system actually captures.

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Vyanzo

  1. Preston, S. H., & Coale, A. J. (1982). Age structure, growth, attrition, and accession: a new synthesis. Population Index, 48(2), 217–259. DOI: 10.2307/2735961
  2. Preston, S. H., Heuveline, P., & Guillot, M. (2001). Demography: Measuring and Modeling Population Processes. Blackwell. ISBN: 9781557864512

Jinsi ya kunukuu ukurasa huu

ScholarGate. (2026, June 22). Preston-Coale Synthetic Extinct Generations Method. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/sw/demography/preston-coale-method

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ScholarGatePreston-Coale Method (Preston-Coale Synthetic Extinct Generations Method). Imepatikana 2026-06-24 kutoka https://scholargate.app/sw/demography/preston-coale-method · Seti ya data: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026