Linganisha mbinu
Pitia mbinu ulizochagua bega kwa bega; safu zinazotofautiana zinaangaziwa.
| Muundo wa Uhusiano wa Kiotomatiki wa Vecta (VAR)× | Mfumo wa ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)× | Urejeshaji wa Njia ya Viwango Vidogo vya Kawaida (OLS)× | Kielelezo cha Usahihishaji Hitilafu cha Kivekta (VECM)× | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyanja | Ekonometriki | Ekonometriki | Ekonometriki | Ekonometriki |
| Familia | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| Mwaka wa asili≠ | 2005 | 2015 | 2019 | 1987 |
| Mwanzilishi≠ | Lütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition | Box & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology) | Wooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squares | Engle & Granger |
| Aina≠ | Multivariate time-series model | Univariate time-series model | Linear regression | Multivariate time-series model |
| Chanzo asilia≠ | Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗ | Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021 | Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860 | Engle, R. F. & Granger, C. W. J. (1987). Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251-276. DOI ↗ |
| Majina mbadala≠ | vector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon | Box-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeli | ordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonu | vector error correction model, error correction model, cointegration model, VECM (Vektör Hata Düzeltme Modeli) |
| Zinazohusiana≠ | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| Muhtasari≠ | Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005). | ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015). | Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE). | The Vector Error Correction Model is a multivariate time-series model for cointegrated series that captures both their short-run dynamics and their long-run equilibrium relationship. It was introduced by Engle and Granger in 1987 as part of the cointegration and error-correction framework. |
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