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Linganisha mbinu

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Uchanganuzi wa STL: Uchanganuzi wa Mwenendo wa Msimu kwa kutumia Loess×Mfumo wa ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)×LOESS / LOWESS Usanifu wa Kurekebisha wa Kienyeji×
NyanjaEkonometrikiEkonometrikiUjifunzaji wa Mashine
FamiliaProcess / pipelineRegression modelMachine learning
Mwaka wa asili199020151979
MwanzilishiCleveland, Cleveland, McRae & TerpenningBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)William S. Cleveland
Ainanonparametric iterative smootherUnivariate time-series modelLocal nonparametric regression smoother
Chanzo asiliaCleveland, R. B., Cleveland, W. S., McRae, J. E., & Terpenning, I. (1990). STL: A seasonal-trend decomposition procedure based on loess. Journal of Official Statistics, 6(1), 3–73. link ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Cleveland, W. S. (1979). Robust locally weighted regression and smoothing scatterplots. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74(368), 829–836. DOI ↗
Majina mbadalaSeasonal-Trend Decomposition using Loess, STL filtering, Loess-based seasonal decomposition, Mevsimsel-Trend Ayrıştırma (STL)Box-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA ModeliLOWESS, local regression, locally weighted scatterplot smoothing, yerel regresyon
Zinazohusiana353
MuhtasariSTL Decomposition, introduced by Cleveland, Cleveland, McRae, and Terpenning (1990), is a nonparametric procedure that separates a time series into three additive components — trend, seasonal, and remainder — using iterative locally weighted regression (loess). Widely used in economics, meteorology, and data science, it handles time series of any periodicity and is robust to the presence of outliers, making it a highly flexible alternative to classical decomposition methods.ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).LOESS (locally estimated scatterplot smoothing), introduced by William Cleveland in 1979 and extended with Susan Devlin in 1988, fits a smooth curve through data by performing a separate weighted polynomial regression in the neighbourhood of each point. Nearby observations count more than distant ones, so the method follows local structure without assuming any global functional form, making it a popular exploratory smoother for scatterplots.
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ScholarGateLinganisha mbinu: STL Decomposition · ARIMA · LOESS. Imepatikana 2026-06-20 kutoka https://scholargate.app/sw/compare