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Linganisha mbinu

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Upepeshaji wa kielelezo rahisi na mara mbili (SES / Holt)×Ulainishaji Lainifu wa Kielelezo Mara Tatu wa Holt-Winters×
NyanjaEkonometrikiEkonometriki
FamiliaRegression modelRegression model
Mwaka wa asili19571960
MwanzilishiRobert G. Brown (SES); Charles C. Holt (linear trend)Charles C. Holt and Peter R. Winters
AinaExponential smoothing forecasting modelExponential smoothing forecasting model
Chanzo asiliaBrown, R. G. (1959). Statistical Forecasting for Inventory Control. McGraw-Hill. link ↗Winters, P. R. (1960). Forecasting Sales by Exponentially Weighted Moving Averages. Management Science, 6(3), 324-342. DOI ↗
Majina mbadalaSES, Holt's linear trend method, exponential smoothing forecasting, Basit ve Çift Üstel Düzleştirme (SES / Holt)triple exponential smoothing, Winters' method, Holt-Winters seasonal method, Holt-Winters Üçlü Üstel Düzleştirme
Zinazohusiana34
MuhtasariExponential smoothing is a family of basic time-series forecasting models in which each new observation updates a smoothed estimate by a weighting parameter. Simple exponential smoothing (SES), introduced by Robert G. Brown in 1959, forecasts series with a stable level, while Holt's double exponential smoothing, introduced by Charles C. Holt in 1957, adds a trend term using the parameters alpha and beta.Holt-Winters triple exponential smoothing is a forecasting model that extends Holt's double smoothing by adding a seasonal component, introduced by Peter Winters in 1960 building on Charles Holt's work. It tracks three evolving quantities — level, trend, and season — and combines them to forecast a continuous time series.
ScholarGateSeti ya data
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  1. v1
  2. 2 Vyanzo
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateLinganisha mbinu: Exponential Smoothing · Holt-Winters. Imepatikana 2026-06-19 kutoka https://scholargate.app/sw/compare