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PatchTST×Mfumo wa ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)×Utabiri Konformali kwa Utabiri wa Mfululizo wa Wakati×
NyanjaUjifunzaji wa KinaEkonometrikiEkonometriki
FamiliaMachine learningRegression modelRegression model
Mwaka wa asili202320152021
MwanzilishiNie, Y. et al.Box & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)Angelopoulos & Bates (tutorial); Xu & Xie (time-series EnbPI)
AinaTransformer for time series forecastingUnivariate time-series modelDistribution-free prediction interval wrapper
Chanzo asiliaNie, Y., Nguyen, N. H., Sinthong, P. & Kalagnanam, J. (2023). A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers. ICLR. link ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Angelopoulos, A. N. & Bates, S. (2023). Conformal Prediction: A Gentle Introduction. Foundations and Trends in Machine Learning, 16(4), 494-591. DOI ↗
Majina mbadalaPatchTST — Yama Tabanlı Zaman Serisi Transformer, patch-based time series transformer, channel-independent transformerBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeliconformal prediction, distribution-free prediction intervals, EnbPI, Konformal Tahmin (Conformal Prediction — Zaman Serisi)
Zinazohusiana354
MuhtasariPatchTST is a patch-based Transformer architecture for time series forecasting, introduced by Nie and colleagues in 2023, that cuts each series into overlapping patches treated as tokens and processes channels independently. It balances computational efficiency with strong accuracy on long-horizon forecasting.ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).Conformal prediction is a distribution-free wrapper that turns any point forecaster — ARIMA, a neural network, or a machine-learning model — into valid prediction intervals using only its residuals. The time-series form was popularised by Xu & Xie (2021) and the modern tutorial treatment by Angelopoulos & Bates (2023).
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ScholarGateLinganisha mbinu: PatchTST · ARIMA · Conformal Prediction (Time Series). Imepatikana 2026-06-18 kutoka https://scholargate.app/sw/compare