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Linganisha mbinu

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Mfumo wa Mabadiliko ya Mazinatio ya Markov (MS-AR / MS-VAR)×Exponential GARCH (EGARCH)×Umuundo wa Kujirudia kwa Kujitegemea wenye Masharti ya Ugomvi (GARCH)×
NyanjaEkonometrikiEkonometrikiEkonometriki
FamiliaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Mwaka wa asili198919911986
MwanzilishiHamilton (1989); Kim & Nelson (1999)NelsonTim Bollerslev
AinaRegime-switching time series modelConditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant)Conditional volatility model
Chanzo asiliaHamilton, J. D. (1989). A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle. Econometrica, 57(2), 357-384. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307-327. DOI ↗
Majina mbadalaregime-switching model, Markov-switching autoregression, MS-AR, MS-VARexponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCHGARCH(1,1), generalized ARCH, conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli
Zinazohusiana545
MuhtasariThe Markov regime-switching model lets the parameters of a time series change probabilistically across hidden regimes governed by a Markov chain. Introduced by Hamilton (1989) and developed further by Kim and Nelson (1999), it automatically detects business-cycle phases such as expansions and contractions.EGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance.GARCH is an econometric model for the time-varying volatility of financial time series, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986 as a generalisation of Engle's ARCH model. It treats the conditional variance as a function of past squared shocks and past variances, capturing the volatility clustering seen in returns.
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ScholarGateLinganisha mbinu: Markov-Switching Model · EGARCH · GARCH. Imepatikana 2026-06-19 kutoka https://scholargate.app/sw/compare