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Linganisha mbinu

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Foresight Scenario Method×Technology Foresight×
NyanjaScience Technology StudiesScience Technology Studies
FamiliaProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Mwaka wa asili19951995
MwanzilishiPaul Schoemaker, drawing on Herman Kahn and the Shell/intuitive-logics traditionBen R. Martin, Irene Miles, and the UK/Japanese foresight programmes
AinaStructured future-construction processParticipatory future-oriented strategic process
Chanzo asiliaSchoemaker, P. J. H. (1995). Scenario planning: a tool for strategic thinking. Sloan Management Review, 36(2), 25-40. link ↗Martin, B. R. (1995). Foresight in science and technology. Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 7(2), 139-168. DOI ↗
Majina mbadalaScenario planning, Intuitive-logics scenarios, Scenario buildingForesight studies, Strategic technology forecasting, Future-oriented technology analysis
Zinazohusiana44
MuhtasariThe scenario method constructs a small set of internally consistent, plausible stories about how the future might unfold, built from the key driving forces and critical uncertainties facing a decision. Rather than forecasting one expected future, it deliberately develops several contrasting futures so that strategies can be tested against a range of possibilities and decision-makers can rehearse responses to what might otherwise be surprises.Technology foresight is a systematic, participatory process of looking into the longer-term future of science, technology, the economy, and society in order to identify the areas of strategic research and the emerging generic technologies likely to yield the greatest economic and social benefits. Rather than predicting a single future, it brings experts and stakeholders together to explore plausible futures, build shared visions, and translate them into present-day priorities and action.
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  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateLinganisha mbinu: Foresight Scenario Method · Technology Foresight. Imepatikana 2026-06-24 kutoka https://scholargate.app/sw/compare