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Linganisha mbinu

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Thibitisho la Thamani ya Hatari (Matarajio ya Upungufu)×Exponential GARCH (EGARCH)×Nadharia ya Hisa Zinazotambulika na Muundo wa HAR×
NyanjaFedhaEkonometrikiFedha
FamiliaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Mwaka wa asili200019912009
MwanzilishiRockafellar & Uryasev (2000); Acerbi & Tasche (2002)NelsonCorsi (HAR model); Andersen, Bollerslev, Diebold & Labys (realized volatility)
AinaCoherent tail-risk measureConditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant)Time-series regression of realized variance
Chanzo asiliaRockafellar, R. T. & Uryasev, S. (2000). Optimization of Conditional Value-at-Risk. Journal of Risk, 2(3), 21-41. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370. DOI ↗Corsi, F. (2009). A Simple Approximate Long-Memory Model of Realized Volatility. Journal of Financial Econometrics, 7(2), 174-196. DOI ↗
Majina mbadalaCVaR, expected shortfall, average value-at-risk, tail VaRexponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCHrealized variance, HAR model, heterogeneous autoregressive model of realized volatility, HAR-RV
Zinazohusiana545
MuhtasariConditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), also called Expected Shortfall, is a coherent tail-risk measure that quantifies the conditional expectation of losses beyond the Value-at-Risk threshold. It was introduced for optimization by Rockafellar and Uryasev (2000) and shown to be coherent by Acerbi and Tasche (2002), and it has replaced VaR as the regulatory standard under Basel III/IV.EGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance.Realized volatility estimates an asset's variance directly from high-frequency intraday returns rather than from a parametric latent process. The Heterogeneous Autoregressive (HAR) model of Corsi (2009), building on the realized-volatility framework of Andersen, Bollerslev, Diebold and Labys (2003), forecasts this measure by combining daily, weekly, and monthly volatility components, and is a strong alternative to GARCH for volatility prediction.
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ScholarGateLinganisha mbinu: Conditional Value-at-Risk · EGARCH · Realized Volatility. Imepatikana 2026-06-19 kutoka https://scholargate.app/sw/compare