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Linganisha mbinu

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Thibitisho la Thamani ya Hatari (Matarajio ya Upungufu)×Exponential GARCH (EGARCH)×Regression ya Kiasi (Quantile Regression)×
NyanjaFedhaEkonometrikiEkonometriki
FamiliaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Mwaka wa asili200019911978
MwanzilishiRockafellar & Uryasev (2000); Acerbi & Tasche (2002)NelsonKoenker & Bassett
AinaCoherent tail-risk measureConditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant)Conditional quantile regression
Chanzo asiliaRockafellar, R. T. & Uryasev, S. (2000). Optimization of Conditional Value-at-Risk. Journal of Risk, 2(3), 21-41. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370. DOI ↗Koenker, R. & Bassett, G., Jr. (1978). Regression Quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50. DOI ↗
Majina mbadalaCVaR, expected shortfall, average value-at-risk, tail VaRexponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCHconditional quantile regression, regression quantiles, Kantil Regresyon
Zinazohusiana545
MuhtasariConditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), also called Expected Shortfall, is a coherent tail-risk measure that quantifies the conditional expectation of losses beyond the Value-at-Risk threshold. It was introduced for optimization by Rockafellar and Uryasev (2000) and shown to be coherent by Acerbi and Tasche (2002), and it has replaced VaR as the regulatory standard under Basel III/IV.EGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance.Quantile regression models conditional quantiles of an outcome - the median, the 25th or 75th percentile, and so on - rather than the conditional mean that OLS targets. Introduced by Koenker and Bassett in 1978, it reveals how predictors act across the whole distribution, including its tails.
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ScholarGateLinganisha mbinu: Conditional Value-at-Risk · EGARCH · Quantile Regression. Imepatikana 2026-06-18 kutoka https://scholargate.app/sw/compare