ScholarGate
Msaidizi

Linganisha mbinu

Pitia mbinu ulizochagua bega kwa bega; safu zinazotofautiana zinaangaziwa.

Makadirio ya Idadi ya Watu kwa Njia ya Vikundi-Vijenzi×Mfumo wa Lee-Carter×
NyanjaDemografiaDemografia
FamiliaProcess / pipelineRegression model
Mwaka wa asili20011992
MwanzilishiPreston, Heuveline & GuillotRonald Lee & Lawrence Carter
AinaDemographic projection pipelineStochastic mortality forecasting model
Chanzo asiliaPreston, S. H., Heuveline, P., & Guillot, M. (2001). Demography: Measuring and Modeling Population Processes. Blackwell. ISBN: 978-1-557-86451-2Lee, R. D., & Carter, L. R. (1992). Modeling and forecasting U.S. mortality. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 87(419), 659–671. DOI ↗
Majina mbadalaCohort-Component Method, Component Method of Population Projection, Age-Sex-Specific Population Projection, Kohort-Bileşen ProjeksiyonuLC Model, Lee-Carter Mortality Model, Singular Value Decomposition Mortality Model, Lee-Carter Ölümlülük Modeli
Zinazohusiana32
MuhtasariCohort-Component Projection is the standard demographic method for forecasting future population size and age-sex structure by explicitly tracking births, deaths, and migration for each age-sex cohort across discrete time steps. Systematically formalized in the textbook literature by Preston, Heuveline, and Guillot (2001), the method builds on foundational actuarial and demographic work dating to the early twentieth century and remains the workhorse technique used by national statistical offices and international organizations worldwide.The Lee-Carter model is a stochastic framework for modeling and forecasting age-specific mortality rates, introduced by Ronald Lee and Lawrence Carter in their landmark 1992 paper. It decomposes the logarithm of age-specific death rates into an age pattern of mortality, a time-varying index of mortality level, and an age-specific sensitivity of that index, then forecasts the time index using ARIMA time-series methods to generate probabilistic mortality projections.
ScholarGateSeti ya data
  1. v1
  2. 1 Vyanzo
  3. PUBLISHED
  1. v1
  2. 1 Vyanzo
  3. PUBLISHED

Nenda kwenye utafutaji Pakua slaidi

ScholarGateLinganisha mbinu: Cohort-Component Projection · Lee-Carter Model. Imepatikana 2026-06-18 kutoka https://scholargate.app/sw/compare