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Mfumo wa ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)×DCC-GARCH (Uhusiano Unaobadilika wa Masharti)×Exponential GARCH (EGARCH)×
NyanjaEkonometrikiFedhaEkonometriki
FamiliaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Mwaka wa asili201520021991
MwanzilishiBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)Robert F. EngleNelson
AinaUnivariate time-series modelMultivariate volatility modelConditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant)
Chanzo asiliaBox, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Engle, R. (2002). Dynamic Conditional Correlation: A Simple Class of Multivariate GARCH Models. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370. DOI ↗
Majina mbadalaBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modelidynamic conditional correlation, Engle DCC, multivariate GARCH, DCC-GARCH — Dinamik Koşullu Korelasyonexponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCH
Zinazohusiana554
MuhtasariARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).DCC-GARCH is Engle's (2002) multivariate volatility model that lets the correlations between several assets change over time. A separate univariate GARCH model is fitted to each series, and then the dynamic correlation matrix is estimated in a second, separate step.EGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance.
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ScholarGateLinganisha mbinu: ARIMA · DCC-GARCH · EGARCH. Imepatikana 2026-06-19 kutoka https://scholargate.app/sw/compare