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Uchanganuzi wa Matukio Uendeshaji-Mawakala×Uiguzi wa Monte Carlo×
NyanjaUigajiUfanyaji Maamuzi
FamiliaProcess / pipelineMCDM
Mwaka wa asili1990s–2000s1949
MwanzilishiAxelrod, R.; Schoemaker, P. J. H. (combined lineage)Metropolis, N., Ulam, S.
AinaHybrid simulation–scenario methodRobustness wrapper — Monte Carlo uncertainty propagation
Chanzo asiliaAxelrod, R. (1997). The Complexity of Cooperation: Agent-Based Models of Competition and Collaboration. Princeton University Press. Princeton, NJ. ISBN: 9780691015675Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. (1949). The Monte Carlo method. Journal of the American Statistical Association DOI ↗
Majina mbadalaABSA, ABM scenario analysis, agent-based scenario planning, scenario-driven ABM
Zinazohusiana40
MuhtasariAgent-based scenario analysis embeds agent-based simulation models inside a structured scenario planning framework. Researchers define two to four contrasting future scenarios, configure agent populations and environmental rules to reflect each scenario's assumptions, run the simulation under each condition, and compare emergent outcomes. This makes it possible to explore how decentralized individual behaviors aggregate into system-level consequences under radically different futures.MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION (Monte Carlo Simulation — Stochastic uncertainty propagation through MCDM model) is a ranking multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) method introduced by Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. in 1949. It turns a decision matrix of alternatives scored on multiple criteria into a structured, reproducible result.
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ScholarGateLinganisha mbinu: Agent-based scenario analysis · MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION. Imepatikana 2026-06-17 kutoka https://scholargate.app/sw/compare