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	Spatial Bayesian Model Averaging	Rumslig Bayesiansk slutsats
Ämnesområde	Bayesiansk statistik	Bayesiansk statistik
Familj	Bayesian methods	Bayesian methods
Ursprungsår	2008	1991
Upphovsperson	LeSage & Fischer (building on Raftery et al. BMA framework, 1997)	Besag, York & Mollie (CAR prior, 1991); Gelfand & colleagues (Bayesian geostatistics, 1990s)
Typ	Bayesian model combination with spatial structure	Bayesian hierarchical spatial model
Ursprungskälla	LeSage, J. P. & Pace, R. K. (2009). Introduction to Spatial Econometrics. CRC Press / Taylor & Francis. ISBN: 978-1420064247	Banerjee, S., Carlin, B. P. & Gelfand, A. E. (2015). Hierarchical Modeling and Analysis for Spatial Data (2nd ed.). CRC Press. ISBN: 978-1439819173
Alias	spatial BMA, BMA for spatial data, Bayesian model averaging with spatial effects, spatial model uncertainty averaging	Bayesian spatial analysis, Bayesian geostatistics, spatial Bayesian modeling, Bayesian areal modeling
Närliggande	5	2
Sammanfattning	Spatial Bayesian model averaging (spatial BMA) extends classical BMA to settings where observations are georeferenced and spatial dependence must be modelled. Rather than selecting a single spatial regression model — which spatial weight matrix to use, which regressors to include, which spatial lag or error structure to adopt — it averages the predictions and parameter estimates across all candidate models, weighting each by its posterior probability given the data.	Spatial Bayesian inference applies Bayesian hierarchical modeling to data indexed by geographic location. By placing structured spatial priors on location-specific random effects, the model borrows information from neighboring regions or nearby points, producing smooth, uncertainty-quantified maps of any spatially varying outcome — disease rates, pollution levels, species abundance, or environmental risk.