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Process / pipelineDescriptive sequence analysis of offending careers

Offender-Based Transition Matrix

An offender-based transition matrix describes the probability that an offender's next offense is of a particular crime type given the type of the current offense. Introduced to criminology by Blumstein, Cohen, Das, and Moitra in 1988, it treats each individual's ordered sequence of offenses as a Markov-style process and asks the central question of the specialization-versus-versatility debate: do offenders tend to repeat the same kind of crime, or do they switch freely across crime types?

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Izvori

  1. Blumstein, A., Cohen, J., Das, S., & Moitra, S. D. (1988). Specialization and seriousness during adult criminal careers. Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 4(4), 303–345. DOI: 10.1007/BF01065086
  2. Paternoster, R., Brame, R., Piquero, A., Mazerolle, P., & Dean, C. W. (1998). The forward specialization coefficient: Distributional properties and subgroup differences. Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 14(2), 133–154. DOI: 10.1023/A:1023096419348

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ScholarGate. (2026, June 22). Offender-Based Transition Matrix Analysis of Crime-Type Switching. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/sr/criminology/offender-based-transition-matrix

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ScholarGateOffender-Based Transition Matrix (Offender-Based Transition Matrix Analysis of Crime-Type Switching). Preuzeto 2026-06-24 sa https://scholargate.app/sr/criminology/offender-based-transition-matrix · Skup podataka: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026