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| PatchTST× | Konformalno predviđanje za prognoziranje vremenskih serija× | |
|---|---|---|
| Oblast≠ | Duboko učenje | Ekonometrija |
| Porodica≠ | Machine learning | Regression model |
| Godina nastanka≠ | 2023 | 2021 |
| Tvorac≠ | Nie, Y. et al. | Angelopoulos & Bates (tutorial); Xu & Xie (time-series EnbPI) |
| Tip≠ | Transformer for time series forecasting | Distribution-free prediction interval wrapper |
| Temeljni izvor≠ | Nie, Y., Nguyen, N. H., Sinthong, P. & Kalagnanam, J. (2023). A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers. ICLR. link ↗ | Angelopoulos, A. N. & Bates, S. (2023). Conformal Prediction: A Gentle Introduction. Foundations and Trends in Machine Learning, 16(4), 494-591. DOI ↗ |
| Drugi nazivi≠ | PatchTST — Yama Tabanlı Zaman Serisi Transformer, patch-based time series transformer, channel-independent transformer | conformal prediction, distribution-free prediction intervals, EnbPI, Konformal Tahmin (Conformal Prediction — Zaman Serisi) |
| Srodne≠ | 3 | 4 |
| Sažetak≠ | PatchTST is a patch-based Transformer architecture for time series forecasting, introduced by Nie and colleagues in 2023, that cuts each series into overlapping patches treated as tokens and processes channels independently. It balances computational efficiency with strong accuracy on long-horizon forecasting. | Conformal prediction is a distribution-free wrapper that turns any point forecaster — ARIMA, a neural network, or a machine-learning model — into valid prediction intervals using only its residuals. The time-series form was popularised by Xu & Xie (2021) and the modern tutorial treatment by Angelopoulos & Bates (2023). |
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