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Višeperiodna kontrafaktuelna evaluacija uticaja×Marginalni strukturni model (MSM)×
OblastKauzalno zaključivanjeKauzalno zaključivanje
PorodicaRegression modelRegression model
Godina nastanka2000s–2010s2000
TvoracDeveloped through EU policy evaluation practice (European Commission); formalized by Lechner, Caliendo, and related econometriciansJames M. Robins, Miguel A. Hernan, Babette Brumback
TipCausal inference / quasi-experimental evaluationCausal model / semiparametric weighting
Temeljni izvorCaliendo, M., & Kopeinig, S. (2008). Some Practical Guidance for the Implementation of Propensity Score Matching. Journal of Economic Surveys, 22(1), 31-72. DOI ↗Robins, J. M., Hernan, M. A., & Brumback, B. (2000). Marginal structural models and causal inference in epidemiology. Epidemiology, 11(5), 550-560. DOI ↗
Drugi nazivimulti-period CIE, longitudinal counterfactual evaluation, dynamic counterfactual impact evaluation, multi-wave CIEMSM, MSM-IPTW, marginal structural Cox model, weighted structural model
Srodne45
SažetakMulti-period Counterfactual Impact Evaluation (CIE) estimates the causal effect of a policy or program by constructing what would have happened to treated units across multiple time periods had they not been treated. Unlike single-period evaluations, it tracks treatment effects as they evolve over time, capturing dynamic, delayed, or fading impacts that a two-period comparison would miss.A marginal structural model is a causal modeling framework designed to estimate the effect of a time-varying treatment in the presence of time-varying confounders that are themselves affected by prior treatment. By reweighting observations with inverse probability of treatment weights, MSMs create a pseudo-population in which confounding is eliminated, enabling unbiased estimation of causal treatment contrasts even when standard regression adjustments would fail.
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ScholarGateUporedite metode: Multi-period Counterfactual Impact Evaluation · Marginal Structural Model. Preuzeto 2026-06-18 sa https://scholargate.app/sr/compare