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Interrupted Time Series in Crime Analysis×Crime Displacement and Diffusion Analysis×
OblastCriminologyCriminology
PorodicaProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Godina nastanka19802003
TvoracGeorge E. P. Box & George C. Tiao (intervention analysis); David McDowall, Richard McCleary, and colleagues (criminological text)Kate Bowers & Shane Johnson
TipQuasi-experimental evaluation of a policy effect on a time seriesQuasi-experimental spatial impact assessment of crime prevention
Temeljni izvorMcDowall, D., McCleary, R., Meidinger, E. E., & Hay, R. A. (1980). Interrupted Time Series Analysis. Sage Publications. ISBN: 9780803914933Bowers, K. J., & Johnson, S. D. (2003). Measuring the geographical displacement and diffusion of benefit effects of crime prevention activity. Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 19(3), 275–301. DOI ↗
Drugi naziviCrime Intervention Analysis, ITS Crime Evaluation, Quasi-Experimental Time Series for Crime, Pre-Post Crime Trend AnalysisCrime Displacement Analysis, Diffusion of Benefits Analysis, Weighted Displacement Quotient, WDQ Analysis
Srodne44
SažetakInterrupted time series (ITS) analysis evaluates whether a law, policy, or intervention changed the course of a crime series. By modeling the level and slope of crime before and after a dated 'interruption' — a gun-control law, a policing crackdown, a sentencing reform — it tests whether the series jumped or bent at that moment relative to its prior trend. Box and Tiao formalized intervention analysis in 1975, and McDowall, McCleary, and colleagues brought the method to criminology in their widely used 1980 monograph.Displacement and diffusion analysis evaluates what happens around a crime-prevention intervention: does crime simply move to nearby areas, times, or targets (displacement), or do the benefits spill over so that crime also falls in surrounding untreated areas (diffusion of benefits)? Bowers and Johnson's weighted displacement quotient (WDQ) provides a simple, widely used metric that compares pre/post crime change in a target area, a surrounding buffer, and a control area.
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ScholarGateUporedite metode: Interrupted Time Series in Crime Analysis · Crime Displacement and Diffusion Analysis. Preuzeto 2026-06-25 sa https://scholargate.app/sr/compare