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| Conflict Diffusion Analysis× | UCDP Conflict Data Analysis× | |
|---|---|---|
| Oblast | International Relations | International Relations |
| Porodica≠ | Regression model | Process / pipeline |
| Godina nastanka≠ | 2008 | 2013 |
| Tvorac≠ | Conflict-diffusion literature (e.g., Most & Starr; Halvard Buhaug & Kristian Skrede Gleditsch) | Uppsala Conflict Data Program (Ralph Sundberg & Erik Melander for UCDP-GED) |
| Tip≠ | Spatial-temporal analysis of conflict contagion | Coding and analysis of organized-violence events and conflicts |
| Temeljni izvor≠ | Buhaug, H., & Gleditsch, K. S. (2008). Contagion or confusion? Why conflicts cluster in space. International Studies Quarterly, 52(2), 215–233. DOI ↗ | Sundberg, R., & Melander, E. (2013). Introducing the UCDP Georeferenced Event Dataset. Journal of Peace Research, 50(4), 523–532. DOI ↗ |
| Drugi nazivi | Conflict Contagion Analysis, Conflict Spillover Analysis, Spatial Diffusion of War, Conflict Spread Modeling | UCDP Analysis, UCDP Georeferenced Event Dataset Analysis, Uppsala Conflict Data Analysis, Organized Violence Event Analysis |
| Srodne | 3 | 3 |
| Sažetak≠ | Conflict diffusion analysis studies how conflict spreads from one place to another — across borders, between neighboring regions, over time. It addresses a sharp inferential challenge posed by Buhaug and Gleditsch (2008): conflicts cluster in space, but clustering can reflect either genuine contagion (a war next door actually raises your risk) or merely the fact that neighbors share war-prone conditions. Using spatial-temporal lags of neighboring conflict alongside covariates, and theorizing concrete transmission mechanisms such as refugee flows and transnational ethnic ties, the method tries to separate true diffusion from spurious co-location. | UCDP conflict data analysis is the coding and quantitative study of organized violence using the datasets of the Uppsala Conflict Data Program. UCDP distinguishes three categories of organized violence — state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, and one-sided violence against civilians — and codes them from the level of individual fatal events up to annual conflict dyads. The Georeferenced Event Dataset (UCDP-GED), introduced by Sundberg and Melander (2013), pins each event to a place and date, enabling fine-grained spatial and temporal analysis of where and when violence occurs. |
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