Krahasoni metodat

	GARCH me komponentë	Testi i kauzalitetit në variancë
Fusha	Ekonometri	Ekonometri
Familja	Regression model	Regression model
Viti i origjinës	1999	1996
Krijuesi	Engle and Lee	Yin-Wong Cheung and Lilian Ng
Lloji	Decomposed variance model	Conditional variance test
Burimi themelues	Engle, R. F., & Lee, G. (1999). A permanent and transitory component model of stock return volatility. Journal of Political Economy, 107(6), 1363-1384.	Cheung, Y. W., & Ng, L. K. (1996). A causality-in-variance test and its application to financial market prices. Journal of Econometrics, 72(1-2), 33-61.
Emërtime të tjera	Volatility components model	Volatility spillover test
Të lidhura	3	3
Përmbledhja	Component GARCH decomposes conditional variance into transitory (short-term) and permanent (long-term) components with different dynamics, allowing flexibility in capturing volatility behavior at multiple frequencies. Introduced by Engle and Lee (1999), it elegantly models the empirical finding that volatility exhibits both rapid mean-reversion (daily shocks) and slow mean-reversion (level shifts). This framework is crucial for understanding volatility persistence and improving long-horizon volatility forecasting.	The causality-in-variance test detects whether shocks to one variable cause changes in the conditional variance (volatility) of another variable, distinct from mean-level causality. Introduced by Cheung and Ng (1996), it identifies volatility spillovers and contagion effects—crucial for risk management and understanding financial market interdependencies. This approach has become standard in studying shock transmission across asset classes and geographies.