Krahasoni metodat

	Testi i kauzalitetit në variancë	GARCH me komponentë
Fusha	Ekonometri	Ekonometri
Familja	Regression model	Regression model
Viti i origjinës	1996	1999
Krijuesi	Yin-Wong Cheung and Lilian Ng	Engle and Lee
Lloji	Conditional variance test	Decomposed variance model
Burimi themelues	Cheung, Y. W., & Ng, L. K. (1996). A causality-in-variance test and its application to financial market prices. Journal of Econometrics, 72(1-2), 33-61.	Engle, R. F., & Lee, G. (1999). A permanent and transitory component model of stock return volatility. Journal of Political Economy, 107(6), 1363-1384.
Emërtime të tjera	Volatility spillover test	Volatility components model
Të lidhura	3	3
Përmbledhja	The causality-in-variance test detects whether shocks to one variable cause changes in the conditional variance (volatility) of another variable, distinct from mean-level causality. Introduced by Cheung and Ng (1996), it identifies volatility spillovers and contagion effects—crucial for risk management and understanding financial market interdependencies. This approach has become standard in studying shock transmission across asset classes and geographies.	Component GARCH decomposes conditional variance into transitory (short-term) and permanent (long-term) components with different dynamics, allowing flexibility in capturing volatility behavior at multiple frequencies. Introduced by Engle and Lee (1999), it elegantly models the empirical finding that volatility exhibits both rapid mean-reversion (daily shocks) and slow mean-reversion (level shifts). This framework is crucial for understanding volatility persistence and improving long-horizon volatility forecasting.