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Kauzalne hodnotenie vplyvu politík (CIE)×Metóda syntetickej kontroly (SCM)×
OdborKauzálna inferenciaKauzálna inferencia
RodinaRegression modelRegression model
Rok vzniku1974 (Rubin potential outcomes); 2010s (EU policy CIE formalisation)2003–2010
TvorcaRubin (potential outcomes framework); European Commission DG Research formalised policy CIE guidelinesAlberto Abadie & Javier Gardeazabal (2003); Abadie, Diamond & Hainmueller (2010)
TypQuasi-experimental causal evaluationQuasi-experimental causal inference
Pôvodný zdrojImbens, G. W., & Rubin, D. B. (2015). Causal Inference for Statistics, Social, and Biomedical Sciences: An Introduction. Cambridge University Press. ISBN: 978-0521885881Abadie, A., Diamond, A., & Hainmueller, J. (2010). Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California's Tobacco Control Program. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105(490), 493-505. DOI ↗
Ďalšie názvyCIE, policy CIE, counterfactual policy evaluation, impact evaluationSCM, synthetic control, synth estimator, Abadie-Diamond-Hainmueller method
Príbuzné54
ZhrnutieCounterfactual Impact Evaluation (CIE) for policy assessment estimates the causal effect of a public policy or programme by comparing observed outcomes of participants against a rigorously constructed counterfactual — what would have happened had the policy not existed. Rooted in the Rubin potential-outcomes framework, CIE is the standard methodology endorsed by the European Commission for evaluating research, innovation, and structural funding programmes.The Synthetic Control Method estimates the causal effect of a treatment or policy on a single treated unit by constructing a weighted combination of untreated units — the synthetic control — that closely resembles the treated unit before the intervention. The gap between the treated unit and its synthetic counterpart after the intervention is the estimated treatment effect.
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ScholarGatePorovnať metódy: Policy Evaluation Counterfactual Impact Evaluation · Synthetic Control Method. Získané 2026-06-19 z https://scholargate.app/sk/compare