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Strojové učenie-augmentovaná kauzálna analýza dopadu×Analýza kauzálneho vplyvu×
OdborKauzálna inferenciaKauzálna inferencia
RodinaRegression modelRegression model
Rok vzniku2015-20182015
TvorcaBrodersen et al. (foundational BSTS framework, 2015); Chernozhukov et al. (double ML augmentation, 2018)Kay H. Brodersen, Fabian Gallusser, Jim Koehler, Nicolas Remy, Steven L. Scott (Google)
TypQuasi-experimental causal inference with MLBayesian causal inference / counterfactual forecasting
Pôvodný zdrojBrodersen, K. H., Gallusser, F., Koehler, J., Remy, N., & Scott, S. L. (2015). Inferring causal impact using Bayesian structural time-series models. Annals of Applied Statistics, 9(1), 247-274. DOI ↗Brodersen, K. H., Gallusser, F., Koehler, J., Remy, N., & Scott, S. L. (2015). Inferring causal impact using Bayesian structural time-series models. Annals of Applied Statistics, 9(1), 247-274. DOI ↗
Ďalšie názvyML-augmented causal impact, ML-CausalImpact, machine learning causal impact, ML-augmented BSTSCausalImpact, BSTS causal inference, Bayesian causal impact, counterfactual time-series analysis
Príbuzné65
ZhrnutieMachine learning-augmented causal impact analysis combines quasi-experimental counterfactual reasoning with flexible ML prediction models to estimate the causal effect of an intervention on a time series outcome. Building on Brodersen et al.'s Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) framework and extended by double/debiased ML methods, it constructs a synthetic counterfactual from donor covariates and infers the treatment effect as the gap between observed and predicted post-intervention outcomes.Causal Impact Analysis, introduced by Brodersen et al. (2015) at Google, uses Bayesian structural time-series models to estimate what would have happened to an outcome had an intervention never occurred. By constructing a probabilistic counterfactual from pre-treatment data and control covariates, it quantifies point-in-time and cumulative treatment effects with full posterior uncertainty intervals.
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ScholarGatePorovnať metódy: Machine learning-augmented causal impact analysis · Causal Impact Analysis. Získané 2026-06-17 z https://scholargate.app/sk/compare