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Horizon Scanning×Patent Analysis×Technology Delphi×
OdborScience Technology StudiesScience Technology StudiesScience Technology Studies
RodinaProcess / pipelineProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Rok vzniku200919941975
TvorcaWilliam J. Sutherland, Effie Amanatidou, and the foresight/scanning communityFrancis Narin (patent bibliometrics) and the patent-analytics communityHelmer & Dalkey (RAND); national applications by NISTEP (Japan) and Cuhls (Germany)
TypSystematic search-and-detection processDocument-based technological-intelligence processIterative structured expert-survey process
Pôvodný zdrojSutherland, W. J., & Woodroof, H. J. (2009). The need for environmental horizon scanning. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 24(10), 523-527. DOI ↗Narin, F. (1994). Patent bibliometrics. Scientometrics, 30(1), 147-155. DOI ↗Linstone, H. A., & Turoff, M. (Eds.). (1975). The Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications. Addison-Wesley. ISBN: 9780201042948
Ďalšie názvyEnvironmental scanning, Weak-signal detection, Emerging-issues analysisPatent analytics, Patent bibliometrics, Patent landscapingTechnology Delphi survey, Foresight Delphi, National Delphi forecast
Príbuzné444
ZhrnutieHorizon scanning is the systematic examination of information to detect early signs of potentially important developments—weak signals, emerging issues, and wild cards—before they become obvious or fully formed. By surveying a wide range of sources at the edge of current attention, it gives decision-makers advance warning of opportunities and threats and supplies the raw material for foresight, scenario building, and anticipatory policy.Patent analysis, or patanalytics, mines the documents and metadata in patent databases to generate technological intelligence. Because patents are structured, dated, classified, and citation-linked records of inventive activity, analysing patent counts, citations, classification codes, applicants, and text reveals who is innovating where, in which technologies, how fields connect, and how the technological landscape is shifting—evidence that feeds competitive intelligence, R&D strategy, and foresight.The technology Delphi is a large-scale, multi-round expert survey used to forecast the timing, importance, and feasibility of future technological developments. Built on the classic Delphi principles of anonymity, iteration, controlled feedback, and statistical aggregation, it elicits judgements from hundreds or thousands of experts on a structured list of technology statements and converges them, round by round, into a collective forecast that informs national and organisational science and technology priorities.
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ScholarGatePorovnať metódy: Horizon Scanning · Patent Analysis · Technology Delphi. Získané 2026-06-25 z https://scholargate.app/sk/compare