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Модель ARCH с изменяющимися во времени параметрами (TVP-ARCH)×Модель ARCH (авторегрессионная условная гетероскедастичность)×
ОбластьЭконометрикаЭконометрика
СемействоRegression modelRegression model
Год появления1980s–1990s1982
Автор методаExtension of Engle (1982) ARCH; TVP-ARCH formalization credited to Nicholls & Quinn and subsequent state-space literatureRobert F. Engle
ТипConditional heteroscedasticity model with time-varying coefficientsConditional volatility model
Основополагающий источникEngle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗
Другие названияTVP-ARCH, time-varying ARCH, adaptive ARCH, state-space ARCHARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance model
Связанные56
СводкаThe Time-Varying Parameter ARCH (TVP-ARCH) model extends the classic ARCH framework by allowing both the conditional mean coefficients and the ARCH variance parameters to drift over time according to a random-walk or state-space process. This makes it possible to capture structural shifts in volatility dynamics without imposing a fixed parameter regime.The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.
ScholarGateНабор данных
  1. v1
  2. 2 Источники
  3. PUBLISHED
  1. v1
  2. 2 Источники
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateСравнение методов: Time-varying parameter ARCH model · ARCH model. Получено 2026-06-17 из https://scholargate.app/ru/compare