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Стохастическое микромоделирование×Стохастическое дискретно-событийное моделирование×
ОбластьИмитационное моделированиеИмитационное моделирование
СемействоProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Год появления19571960s–1970s
Автор методаGuy H. OrcuttBanks, Carson, Nelson, Nicol; Law, A. M.
ТипStochastic individual-level simulationStochastic simulation model
Основополагающий источникOrcutt, G. H. (1957). A new type of socio-economic system. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 39(2), 116–123. DOI ↗Banks, J., Carson, J. S., Nelson, B. L., & Nicol, D. M. (2010). Discrete-Event System Simulation (5th ed.). Prentice Hall. ISBN: 9780136062127
Другие названияProbabilistic Microsimulation, Monte Carlo Microsimulation, Stochastic Micro-simulation, SMSMStochastic DES, SDES, Probabilistic DES, Monte Carlo DES
Связанные66
СводкаStochastic Microsimulation tracks a large population of individual units — people, households, or firms — through time by applying random draws from empirically estimated probability distributions at each transition event. Unlike deterministic counterparts, every state change is decided by chance, preserving realistic heterogeneity and allowing rigorous uncertainty quantification across multiple simulation runs.Stochastic Discrete-Event Simulation (Stochastic DES) models complex systems by advancing simulated time from one discrete event to the next, drawing event durations and inter-arrival times from fitted probability distributions. It is the standard technique for analyzing queues, manufacturing lines, healthcare pathways, and logistics networks under uncertainty, producing output statistics with confidence intervals.
ScholarGateНабор данных
  1. v1
  2. 2 Источники
  3. PUBLISHED
  1. v1
  2. 2 Источники
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateСравнение методов: Stochastic Microsimulation · Stochastic Discrete-Event Simulation. Получено 2026-06-17 из https://scholargate.app/ru/compare