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Модель Марковских переключений режимов (MS-AR / MS-VAR)×Пороговая и плавнопереходная векторная авторегрессия (TVAR / STVAR)×
ОбластьЭконометрикаЭконометрика
СемействоRegression modelRegression model
Год появления19891998
Автор методаHamilton (1989); Kim & Nelson (1999)Tsay (multivariate threshold modelling)
ТипRegime-switching time series modelNonlinear multivariate time-series model
Основополагающий источникHamilton, J. D. (1989). A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle. Econometrica, 57(2), 357-384. DOI ↗Tsay, R. S. (1998). Testing and Modeling Multivariate Threshold Models. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 93(443), 1188-1202. DOI ↗
Другие названияregime-switching model, Markov-switching autoregression, MS-AR, MS-VARTVAR, STVAR, regime-switching VAR, threshold VAR
Связанные55
СводкаThe Markov regime-switching model lets the parameters of a time series change probabilistically across hidden regimes governed by a Markov chain. Introduced by Hamilton (1989) and developed further by Kim and Nelson (1999), it automatically detects business-cycle phases such as expansions and contractions.Threshold VAR and Smooth-Transition VAR are nonlinear multivariate time-series models in which the coefficients of a vector autoregression switch between regimes according to a threshold variable. Building on Tsay's 1998 treatment of multivariate threshold models, they capture different dynamic structures across phases such as the business cycle, financial crises, or policy differences.
ScholarGateНабор данных
  1. v1
  2. 2 Источники
  3. PUBLISHED
  1. v1
  2. 2 Источники
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateСравнение методов: Markov-Switching Model · Threshold and Smooth-Transition VAR. Получено 2026-06-19 из https://scholargate.app/ru/compare