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Модель Марковских переключений режимов (MS-AR / MS-VAR)×Экспоненциальный GARCH (EGARCH)×
ОбластьЭконометрикаЭконометрика
СемействоRegression modelRegression model
Год появления19891991
Автор методаHamilton (1989); Kim & Nelson (1999)Nelson
ТипRegime-switching time series modelConditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant)
Основополагающий источникHamilton, J. D. (1989). A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle. Econometrica, 57(2), 357-384. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370. DOI ↗
Другие названияregime-switching model, Markov-switching autoregression, MS-AR, MS-VARexponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCH
Связанные54
СводкаThe Markov regime-switching model lets the parameters of a time series change probabilistically across hidden regimes governed by a Markov chain. Introduced by Hamilton (1989) and developed further by Kim and Nelson (1999), it automatically detects business-cycle phases such as expansions and contractions.EGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance.
ScholarGateНабор данных
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  2. 2 Источники
  3. PUBLISHED
  1. v1
  2. 2 Источники
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateСравнение методов: Markov-Switching Model · EGARCH. Получено 2026-06-18 из https://scholargate.app/ru/compare