Сравнение методов

	Chronos	LSTM	TimesFM: Модель-фундамент только с декодером для прогнозирования временных рядов
Область	Глубокое обучение	Глубокое обучение	Глубокое обучение
Семейство	Machine learning	Machine learning	Machine learning
Год появления	2024	1997	2024
Автор метода	Abdul Fatir Ansari et al. (Amazon)	Hochreiter, S. & Schmidhuber, J.	Abhimanyu Das et al. (Google)
Тип	Pre-trained language-model-based time-series forecaster	Recurrent neural network (gated memory cell)	Pre-trained decoder-only transformer for zero-shot time-series forecasting
Основополагающий источник	Ansari, A. F., Stella, L., Turkmen, C., Zhang, X., Mercado, P., Shen, H., et al. (2024). Chronos: Learning the language of time series. Transactions on Machine Learning Research.	Hochreiter, S. & Schmidhuber, J. (1997). Long Short-Term Memory. Neural Computation, 9(8), 1735–1780.	Das, A., Kong, W., Sen, R., & Zhou, Y. (2024). A decoder-only foundation model for time-series forecasting. ICML.
Другие названия	Chronos Forecasting Model, Amazon Chronos, Tokenized Time-Series LLM, Kronos Zaman Serisi Modeli	LSTM (Uzun Kısa Dönem Bellek Ağı), long short-term memory, LSTM network, recurrent neural network with memory cells	Time-series Foundation Model, Google TimesFM, TimesFM forecaster, Zaman Serisi Temel Modeli
Связанные	2	5	3
Сводка	Chronos is a family of pre-trained probabilistic forecasting models introduced by Ansari et al. at Amazon in 2024. It adapts the language-model paradigm to time series by quantizing continuous values into discrete tokens, enabling a standard transformer to be trained on a large heterogeneous corpus of time-series data. The result is a zero-shot forecasting model that generalizes across domains without requiring dataset-specific retraining.	LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) is a recurrent neural network architecture, introduced by Sepp Hochreiter and Jürgen Schmidhuber in 1997, that can learn long-term dependencies in sequential data and is widely used for time-series and sequence prediction. It keeps an internal memory that lets information persist across many time steps.	TimesFM is a pre-trained foundation model for univariate time-series forecasting introduced by Abhimanyu Das, Weihao Kong, Rajat Sen, and Yichen Zhou from Google in 2024. The model adopts a decoder-only transformer architecture, similar in spirit to large language models, and is trained on a large corpus of real-world and synthetic time-series data. Its central innovation is the ability to perform accurate zero-shot forecasting across diverse domains without task-specific fine-tuning.