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Байесовский клинический этап II×Адаптивное клиническое исследование Фазы II×
ОбластьЭпидемиологияЭпидемиология
СемействоProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Год появления1990s (Thall & Simon 1994; Berry 1985–2006)1994 (formal framework); widespread adoption 2000s–2010s
Автор методаPeter Thall, Richard Simon, Donald Berry (key contributors)Peter Bauer & Klaus Kohne (formal statistical framework, 1994); broader adaptive trial methodology developed through FDA and ICH guidance in the 2000s
ТипInterventional clinical trial designExperimental clinical trial design
Основополагающий источникThall, P. F., & Simon, R. (1994). Practical Bayesian guidelines for phase IIB clinical trials. Biometrics, 50(2), 337–349. DOI ↗Bauer, P., & Kohne, K. (1994). Evaluation of experiments with adaptive interim analyses. Biometrics, 50(4), 1029–1041. DOI ↗
Другие названияBayesian phase 2 trial, Bayesian single-arm phase II study, Bayesian early-phase efficacy trial, Bayes phase IIAdaptive Ph II trial, seamless adaptive Phase II, adaptive dose-finding trial, response-adaptive Phase II
Связанные61
СводкаA Bayesian Phase II clinical trial applies Bayesian statistical inference to the standard Phase II objective of evaluating whether an experimental treatment shows sufficient early-phase efficacy to justify progression to a Phase III trial. By combining prior information with accumulating trial data, it enables principled interim monitoring, flexible stopping rules, and updated probability statements about treatment effect — all without the multiple-testing penalties that burden frequentist sequential designs.An adaptive Phase II clinical trial is a prospective experimental design in which pre-specified rules allow the study protocol to be modified — such as dropping arms, adjusting sample size, or narrowing the patient population — based on accumulating interim data, without inflating the Type I error rate. The design is widely used in early-phase drug development to screen candidate doses or treatments efficiently while preserving statistical validity.
ScholarGateНабор данных
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  2. 2 Источники
  3. PUBLISHED
  1. v1
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ScholarGateСравнение методов: Bayesian Phase II Clinical Trial · Adaptive Phase II Clinical Trial. Получено 2026-06-20 из https://scholargate.app/ru/compare