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Модель ARMA (авторегрессионная скользящая средняя)×Авторегрессионная модель (AR)×
ОбластьЭконометрикаЭконометрика
СемействоRegression modelRegression model
Год появления19701970s (popularised 1976)
Автор методаGeorge E. P. Box and Gwilym M. JenkinsGeorge E. P. Box and Gwilym M. Jenkins
ТипTime series modelTime series model
Основополагающий источникBox, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0816211043
Другие названияARMA, Box-Jenkins model, autoregressive moving average, AR(p)MA(q)AR model, AR(p) model, autoregression, AR process
Связанные56
СводкаThe ARMA(p,q) model describes a stationary time series as a combination of two components: an autoregressive part that regresses the current value on its own past p values, and a moving average part that accounts for past q error terms. It is the foundational framework of the Box-Jenkins methodology for univariate time series modelling and short-run forecasting.An autoregressive model of order p — AR(p) — expresses the current value of a time series as a linear function of its own p most recent past values plus a white-noise error. It is the building block of the Box-Jenkins family of time-series models and is widely used for forecasting stationary economic and financial series.
ScholarGateНабор данных
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  2. 2 Источники
  3. PUBLISHED
  1. v1
  2. 2 Источники
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateСравнение методов: ARMA model · Autoregressive model. Получено 2026-06-17 из https://scholargate.app/ru/compare