İstatistik
5 — методы этого семейства.
Избранное
Когортно-компонентный метод прогнозирования населенияCohort-Component Projection is the standard demographic method for forecasting future population size and age-sex structure by explicitly tracking births, deaths, and migration forМодель Ли-КартераThe Lee-Carter model is a stochastic framework for modeling and forecasting age-specific mortality rates, introduced by Ronald Lee and Lawrence Carter in their landmark 1992 paper.Анализ таблиц смертностиA life table is a systematic, age-structured summary of the mortality experience of a population. It traces a hypothetical cohort of births — conventionally 100,000 — through succeМодели миграции (факторы "выталкивания" и "притяжения" / мультирегиональные)Migration models are quantitative frameworks for explaining and forecasting population movement between geographic units. Lee's (1966) push-pull theory classifies factors at originТеория стабильной популяцииStable Population Theory is a mathematical framework in demography that describes the age structure and growth dynamics of a closed population subject to constant age-specific fert
План чтения
Наиболее цитируемые фундаментальные методы этой темы в порядке их появления — отправная точка, если вы здесь впервые.