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Analiza Impactului Cauzal Multi-perioadă×Analiza Bayesiană a Impactului Cauzal×
DomeniuInferență cauzalăInferență cauzală
FamilieRegression modelRegression model
Anul apariției2015 (base); multi-period extensions 2017–present2015
Autorul originalBrodersen, Gallusser, Koehler, Remy & Scott (Google); extended to multi-period settings by subsequent applied workBrodersen, Gallusser, Koehler, Remy & Scott (Google)
TipBayesian structural time-series / quasi-experimentalBayesian causal inference / time series
Sursa seminalăBrodersen, K. H., Gallusser, F., Koehler, J., Remy, N., & Scott, S. L. (2015). Inferring causal impact using Bayesian structural time-series models. Annals of Applied Statistics, 9(1), 247-274. DOI ↗Brodersen, K. H., Gallusser, F., Koehler, J., Remy, N., & Scott, S. L. (2015). Inferring causal impact using Bayesian structural time-series models. Annals of Applied Statistics, 9(1), 247-274. DOI ↗
Denumiri alternativemulti-period CausalImpact, staggered causal impact, repeated-period causal impact, multi-wave CausalImpactCausalImpact, Bayesian structural time series causal inference, BSTS causal impact, Bayesian intervention analysis
Înrudite64
RezumatMulti-period Causal Impact Analysis extends the Bayesian structural time-series framework of Brodersen et al. (2015) to settings where an intervention occurs across multiple distinct periods, is applied at staggered times to different units, or where researchers wish to evaluate cumulative and period-specific effects within a single unified model. It builds a synthetic counterfactual from control covariates and projects it across each intervention window to quantify causal effects.Bayesian Causal Impact Analysis uses a Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) model to estimate the causal effect of an intervention on a time series outcome. Developed by Brodersen and colleagues at Google in 2015, it builds a probabilistic counterfactual — what the series would have looked like without the intervention — from pre-intervention data and optional control covariates, then compares it with the observed post-intervention values to produce a fully Bayesian posterior over the causal effect.
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ScholarGateCompară metode: Multi-period Causal Impact Analysis · Bayesian Causal Impact Analysis. Preluat la 2026-06-18 de pe https://scholargate.app/ro/compare