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Modelul de Distribuție a Pierderilor×Teoria Credibilității×
DomeniuȘtiințe actuarialeȘtiințe actuariale
FamilieRegression modelRegression model
Anul apariției20121967
Autorul originalKlugman, Panjer & WillmotHans Bühlmann
TipParametric probability modelWeighted linear blend of individual and collective experience
Sursa seminalăKlugman, S. A., Panjer, H. H., & Willmot, G. E. (2012). Loss Models: From Data to Decisions (4th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1-118-31532-3Bühlmann, H. (1967). Experience rating and credibility. ASTIN Bulletin, 4(3), 199–207. DOI ↗
Denumiri alternativeSeverity-Frequency Model, Aggregate Loss Model, Claim Size Distribution Model, Hasar Dağılımı ModeliBühlmann Credibility, Experience Rating, Linear Credibility Estimator, Güvenilirlik Teorisi
Înrudite33
RezumatA Loss Distribution Model is a parametric statistical framework used in actuarial science to characterise the probabilistic behaviour of insurance claim amounts and frequencies. Developed comprehensively by Klugman, Panjer, and Willmot in their foundational text Loss Models: From Data to Decisions (first edition 1998, fourth edition 2012), these models underpin premium rating, reserving, reinsurance pricing, and regulatory capital calculations across the insurance and risk-management industries.Credibility Theory is an actuarial framework for estimating the pure premium of an individual risk by blending its own observed loss experience with the collective (portfolio) mean. Introduced by Hans Bühlmann in 1967, the method derives the optimal linear combination—the credibility-weighted premium—that minimises mean squared error. It extends classical experience rating to a rigorous statistical footing rooted in Bayesian and linear estimation principles.
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ScholarGateCompară metode: Loss Distribution Model · Credibility Theory. Preluat la 2026-06-18 de pe https://scholargate.app/ro/compare